Resolution criteria on PolyGram: What price will Ethereum hit on June 2?
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ↓ 1,800 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| ↓ 1,750 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| ↓ 1,700 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 2,350 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 2,300 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 2,250 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 2,200 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| ↑ 2,150 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Ethereum's price movement on 2 June 2026 will depend on macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment over the next eighteen months. The current order book on Polymarket prices the probability of Ethereum reaching an unspecified target price on that date at 1%, reflecting either a narrow price range expectation or significant uncertainty about which price level the market is testing.
Historical volatility in Ethereum's price suggests that single-day moves of 10–20% are not uncommon during periods of market stress or euphoria, though sustained moves beyond established support and resistance levels typically require catalysts. The 1% implied probability on Polymarket's current order book indicates that traders are pricing in either a very specific price threshold that sits well outside consensus expectations, or that the settlement criteria themselves carry substantial ambiguity that depresses demand for YES positions.
Key variables affecting Ethereum's price trajectory include regulatory announcements from the SEC or international bodies, macroeconomic policy shifts that alter risk appetite, developments in Ethereum's technical roadmap (particularly around scaling solutions), and movements in Bitcoin, which historically drives directional momentum across cryptocurrency markets. Traders should monitor Federal Reserve communications and any major protocol upgrades scheduled before June 2026, as these have historically moved Ethereum significantly. The wide gap between the current 1% probability and historical price volatility suggests the market may be pricing in either a very precise price target or structural uncertainty about market conditions eighteen months forward.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "What price will Ethereum hit on June 2?" are the same as any other PolyGram crypto-price event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$20K in lifetime turnover and $234K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for crypto contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $20K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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