Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the bowler with the most wickets during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the bowler with the lower bowling average during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bhuvneshwar Kumar | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Anshul Kamboj | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| Prince Yadav | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Prasidh Krishna | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Mohsin Khan | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Kartik Tyagi | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Nandre Burger | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Josh Hazlewood | 26% YES | 75% NO |
The Purple Cap is awarded annually to the leading wicket-taker across the Indian Premier League season. The 2026 edition will run through May, with the settlement window closing on 1 June 2026. Current order book pricing implies a 50% probability that a single bowler will emerge as the clear leader, suggesting meaningful uncertainty around whether one player will definitively separate themselves from competitors or whether tie-break criteria will be required.
Historically, the Purple Cap has been claimed by specialist fast bowlers and occasional spinners, with winners typically taking 20–30 wickets across the tournament's ten-week span. The distribution of wicket-taking talent across IPL franchises has grown more competitive in recent seasons, making it less common for one bowler to dominate by large margins. The 50% implied probability reflects this competitive dynamic—roughly even odds that a standout performer emerges versus a tighter race requiring recourse to bowling average or alphabetical ordering under the settlement rules.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and retention decisions across the ten franchises, expected in late 2025, as these will signal which bowlers have secured premium roles and consistent game time. Injury news during the season itself will be material, particularly for marquee fast bowlers. The IPL's scheduling and weather patterns in May 2026 will also influence wicket distribution, as pitches and conditions vary significantly across venues. Official BCCI communications regarding any format changes or tournament structure modifications should be tracked through early 2026.
The IRT Flushing Line is a rapid transit route of the New York City Subway system, named for its eastern terminal in Flushing, Queens. It is operated as part of the A Division. The Interborough Rapid Transit Company (IRT), a private operator, had constructed the section of the line from Flushing, Queens, to Times Square, Manhattan between 1915 and 1928. A we
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "IPL: Purple Cap Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $960 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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