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Assist

Trade: LaLiga: Most Assists

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 LaLiga season. Only assists recorded in LaLiga matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., Copa Del Rey, Supercopa de España, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$308
Total Volume
$2K
24h Volume
$122
Open Interest
$1K
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Market outcomes

Luis Milla 18% YES82% NO
Arda Güler 35% YES65% NO
Federico Valverde 6% YES95% NO
Dani Olmo 8% YES92% NO
Giuliano Simeone 37% YES64% NO
Luis Rioja 27% YES74% NO
Vinícius Jr. 37% YES64% NO
Georges Mikautadze 46% YES55% NO

Market context

The 2025-26 LaLiga season will determine which player records the most assists across all domestic league matches through May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices this outcome at 18% implied probability, reflecting significant uncertainty about which individual will lead the division in playmaking. Only assists in official LaLiga fixtures count; contributions in cup competitions, European tournaments, and international matches are excluded from settlement.

Historical context shows that LaLiga's assist leader typically ranges between 10 and 15 assists per season, with the title frequently contested between attacking midfielders and wingers from the league's top clubs. Real Madrid and Barcelona players have dominated this category in recent years, though the distribution has broadened as other clubs strengthen their squads. The 18% probability suggests the market views this as a relatively open race without a dominant favourite, likely reflecting uncertainty around player availability, form, and tactical deployment across the season.

Traders should monitor squad composition changes during the summer transfer window, injury announcements for key playmakers, and early-season performance data once matches commence in August 2025. Managerial changes at top clubs could alter attacking patterns significantly. The resolution window closes 31 May 2026, giving the full season to play out, though any significant disruptions to the fixture schedule after that date would trigger alternative settlement procedures. Current betting markets on individual player assist totals will provide real-time calibration against the 18% crowd probability.

Wikipedia Context

  • La Liga records and statistics

    La Liga is a Spanish professional league for association football clubs. At the top of the Spanish football league system, it is the country's primary football competition and is contested by 20 clubs. The competition was formed in 1929, with an initial format of 10 teams.

  • La Liga Awards

    The La Liga Awards, previously known as the LFP awards, are presented annually by the Liga de Fútbol Profesional (LFP) to the best players and coach in La Liga, the first division of association football in Spain. Established in the 2008–09 season, they were the first official awards in the history of the Spanish competition. La Liga's best coach and player

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Flaliga-2nd-place-finish-j6GNm9XHzxul.png&w=256&q=75. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "LaLiga: Most Assists" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$2K in lifetime turnover and $308 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for assist contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $122 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.

The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://polymarket.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Flaliga-2nd-place-finish-j6GNm9XHzxul.png&w=256&q=75. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "LaLiga: Most Assists"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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