Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between McCartney Kessler and Yulia Putintseva in the Paris, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'McCartney Kessler' if McCartney Kessler advances against Yulia Putintseva. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Putintseva' if Yulia Putintseva advances against McCartney Kessler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva Match O/U 23.5 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
McCartney Kessler faces Yulia Putintseva in a Paris clay-court match originally scheduled for 11 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Kessler's advancement at 46%, reflecting modest confidence in the American player's prospects on the surface. Settlement occurs on 18 May, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches delayed beyond this point without resolution trigger a 50-50 split.
Kessler's record on clay remains mixed relative to her hard-court performances, whilst Putintseva has demonstrated improved consistency on European clay in recent seasons. Historical matchups between American players and Putintseva on clay show competitive depth rather than dominance patterns, suggesting the 46-54 split reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favourite. Comparable WTA clay encounters at this stage typically see probabilities cluster around 45-55 for unseeded or lower-ranked players, positioning this market within standard ranges.
Traders should monitor injury reports and weather forecasts as the scheduled date approaches, particularly given Paris's spring conditions. Any withdrawal announcements or schedule adjustments would trigger immediate repricing. Surface conditions on the specific court assignment may shift probability; Putintseva's movement patterns favour faster clay, whilst Kessler's game suits slower surfaces. Recent WTA rankings updates and head-to-head records released closer to May will provide concrete data for position adjustments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Paris: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Putintseva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$16K in lifetime turnover and $97K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $16K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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