Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Joshua Peck and Iiro Vasa in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joshua Peck' if Joshua Peck advances against Iiro Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Iiro Vasa' if Iiro Vasa advances against Joshua Peck. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Joshua Peck vs Iiro Vasa | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Joshua Peck and Iiro Vasa are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Lakewood on 27 May 2026. The match forms part of the lower-tier professional tennis circuit, where both players will be competing for ranking points and prize money. The settlement window closes on 3 June 2026, allowing a six-day window beyond the scheduled date for the match to be completed.
The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity or conviction on either outcome at present. ITF-level matches typically attract sparse liquidity on prediction markets, particularly when neither competitor has established a significant professional profile or recent media coverage. Historical precedent suggests that such matches often see probability shifts only after draw confirmations, injury announcements, or late withdrawals become public. The current zero probability may indicate either no active bids on the Peck side of the order book or a technical artefact of low volume.
Traders monitoring this market should track ITF Lakewood's official draw releases and any player withdrawal notices in the weeks preceding 27 May. Recent form, surface preference—Lakewood typically hosts hard court events—and head-to-head records between Peck and Vasa remain relevant inputs. Weather disruptions or scheduling conflicts could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion. The settlement window's tight closure on 3 June means any unresolved matches by that date will automatically split the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Joshua Peck vs Iiro Vasa" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$363 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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