Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Radovan Michalik and Giannicola Misasi in the ITF Men Szentendre, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radovan Michalik' if Radovan Michalik advances against Giannicola Misasi. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Radovan Michalik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Szentendre: Radovan Michalik vs Giannicola Misasi | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Radovan Michalik faces Giannicola Misasi in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 2 June 2026 at the Szentendre venue in Hungary. The current order book on Polymarket prices Michalik's advancement at 26%, reflecting a significant underdog positioning relative to his opponent. Settlement occurs on 9 June, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; cancellations or delays beyond that threshold trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Both players compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on surface conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records. Michalik's 26% implied probability suggests the market views Misasi as the stronger prospect, though ITF-level matches frequently produce volatility. Historical patterns on clay courts—Szentendre's typical surface—often favour players with consistent baseline games and experience in European tournaments. Comparable ITF matchups at this tier typically see favourites priced between 60-75%, positioning this market's current odds as moderately confident in Misasi's advantage rather than overwhelming.
Traders should monitor official ITF announcements regarding any schedule changes or player withdrawals in the days preceding 2 June. Weather conditions in Hungary during early June could affect clay court play and match timing. Injury reports or late withdrawals would trigger the cancellation clause, automatically resolving the market to 50-50. The seven-day buffer means matches delayed slightly beyond the original date remain eligible for standard resolution, reducing ambiguity compared to tighter settlement windows.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Szentendre: Radovan Michalik vs Giannicola Misasi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$515 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $515 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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