Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kira Matushkina and Lea Ma in the ITF Women Wichita, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kira Matushkina' if Kira Matushkina advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Kira Matushkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wichita: Kira Matushkina vs Lea Ma | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kira Matushkina faces Lea Ma in the ITF Women's tournament at Wichita, Kansas on 27 May 2026. The match is scheduled for 1:15 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price, reflecting the 0% implied probability—a reflection of minimal trading activity rather than certainty about the outcome. This is typical for lower-tier ITF matches where liquidity concentrates only as the event date approaches.
ITF Women's tournaments at this level feature significant variance in player form and match completion rates. Matushkina and Ma are both professional competitors on the ITF circuit, where ranking points and prize money create genuine competitive incentives. Historical data on comparable ITF events shows that matches scheduled weeks in advance often see shifts in implied probability once travel confirmations emerge and recent tournament results become available. Retirements and walkovers occur at measurably higher rates in ITF events than ATP or WTA fixtures, making the 50-50 tie-break clause operationally relevant.
Traders should monitor ITF entry lists and draw sheets as they are published closer to the event date. Recent player form on the ITF circuit—particularly results from May tournaments—will provide concrete data for reassessing the matchup. Weather conditions in Wichita during late May occasionally affect scheduling. The settlement window extends to 17:15 UTC on 3 June, allowing seven days for completion; any delay beyond that triggers the 50-50 resolution condition.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wichita: Kira Matushkina vs Lea Ma" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: