Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Shannon Lam and Camila Rodero in the ITF Women Oliva, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shannon Lam' if Shannon Lam advances against Camila Rodero. This market will resolve to 'Camila Rodero' if Camila Rodero advances against Shannon Lam. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Oliva: Shannon Lam vs Camila Rodero | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Shannon Lam and Camila Rodero are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Oliva on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture where both players will be competing for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders perceive the match as certain to occur and produce a decisive outcome by the 3 June settlement deadline.
ITF Women's events at this tier typically proceed as scheduled unless weather or injury intervenes. Historical settlement patterns show that matches at ITF level rarely cancel outright; instead, walkovers or retirements occur during play, which would still resolve the market to a winner rather than the 50-50 tie condition. The six-day buffer between the scheduled date and settlement window provides reasonable margin for completion even if minor delays occur.
Traders should monitor the official ITF calendar and both players' social media for withdrawal announcements, which occasionally emerge 48–72 hours before matches. Court conditions in Oliva during late May typically favour outdoor clay play. Any injury reports or schedule conflicts affecting either player would likely surface through the WTA or ITF injury databases. The current 100% probability reflects confidence in match completion; material shifts would require explicit cancellation notice or force majeure conditions affecting the venue.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Oliva: Shannon Lam vs Camila Rodero" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$280 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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