Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Irem Kurt and Selina Atay in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irem Kurt' if Irem Kurt advances against Selina Atay. This market will resolve to 'Selina Atay' if Selina Atay advances against Irem Kurt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Irem Kurt vs Selina Atay | 75% YES | 26% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Irem Kurt and Selina Atay are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Kayseri tournament on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 76% implied probability favouring Kurt's advancement, suggesting market participants assess her as the stronger prospect in this matchup.
ITF Women's events at this tier show considerable volatility in outcomes, particularly when both competitors operate outside the top 200 rankings. Historical data from comparable ITF tournaments indicates that seeding and recent form matter substantially, though upsets occur frequently enough that probabilities above 75% warrant scrutiny. The absence of readily available head-to-head records between Kurt and Atay means traders are likely pricing based on recent tournament results, ranking trajectories, and surface-specific performance data rather than direct precedent.
Key variables for settlement include fixture confirmation and completion by the 7 June deadline. Traders should monitor ITF's official draw updates and any withdrawal announcements in the days preceding the match, as player retirements or cancellations are not uncommon at this level. Surface conditions at the Kayseri venue and any late injury reports could shift the probability materially. The settlement window extends to 10 June, providing a three-day buffer for delayed matches, though fixtures abandoned entirely or unfinished beyond that window resolve to 50-50.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Irem Kurt vs Selina Atay" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$32 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $32 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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