Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Meritxell Teixido Garcia and Laura Mair in the ITF Women Oliva, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meritxell Teixido Garcia' if Meritxell Teixido Garcia advances against Laura Mair. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Meritxell Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Oliva: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Laura Mair | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Meritxell Teixido Garcia and Laura Mair are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Oliva on 27 May 2026. The match is set for 4:00 AM ET, with the settlement window closing on 3 June 2026. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 0% implied probability for Teixido Garcia's advancement, indicating that available liquidity is pricing her as an overwhelming underdog or that minimal trading activity has occurred on this particular fixture.
ITF Women's tournaments at this level typically feature significant variance in player form and ranking trajectories. Both competitors operate within the lower-tier professional circuit where recent match results, surface preference, and injury status carry outsized importance relative to historical head-to-head records. The 0% probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either that Mair has substantially superior recent form or ranking, or that the market has received limited participation and reflects minimal price discovery. Without recent tournament results or ranking data for both players, the extreme probability should be interpreted cautiously—it may reflect genuine disparity or simply thin liquidity.
Traders should monitor official ITF scheduling confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements through late May, as cancellations or delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. Surface conditions in Oliva and any late injury reports could shift expectations, though the current order book suggests the market has already incorporated available information heavily in Mair's favour.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Oliva: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Laura Mair" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$195 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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