Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Fondriest and Alexander Weis in the ITF Men Ljubljana, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Fondriest' if Matteo Fondriest advances against Alexander Weis. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Weis' if Alexander Weis advances against Matteo Fondriest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Ljubljana: Matteo Fondriest vs Alexander Weis | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Matteo Fondriest and Alexander Weis are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Ljubljana tournament on 2 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete primarily at the ITF level rather than ATP events. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity and liquidity on this particular matchup, suggesting few traders have positioned themselves ahead of the settlement window closing on 9 June.
ITF Men's matches at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the top 500 or those rebuilding their ranking positions. Historical patterns show that such low-liquidity markets often reflect genuine uncertainty rather than strong conviction about either player's prospects. Without substantial order book depth, the current probability may simply indicate that no traders have yet committed capital to either side, rather than reflecting genuine consensus that Fondriest cannot advance.
Key catalysts include any official tournament withdrawals or scheduling changes announced by the ITF in the days preceding the match, as well as injury reports or late player substitutions. Traders should monitor the ITF's official website and tournament draw updates for confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled. The settlement window extends only seven days beyond the original date, meaning any significant delay without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating additional risk for those trading on a definitive outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Ljubljana: Matteo Fondriest vs Alexander Weis" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$247 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $160 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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