Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Covato and Richard Antoni in the ITF Men Rosbach, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Richard Antoni. This market will resolve to 'Richard Antoni' if Richard Antoni advances against Matteo Covato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Rosbach: Matteo Covato vs Richard Antoni | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Matteo Covato and Richard Antoni are scheduled to compete in an ITF Men's tournament at Rosbach on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with settlement contingent on a decisive result by 10 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a Covato victory, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong conviction amongst early traders that Antoni will prevail.
ITF Futures events at this level typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 500, where historical data on head-to-head records and recent form remains sparse. The 0% implied probability suggests either that Antoni holds a significant advantage based on available rankings or recent results, or that the market has received limited participation and reflects illiquidity rather than genuine price discovery. Comparable ITF matches on Polymarket often see probabilities shift materially once trading volume increases and additional participants price in player-specific information.
Key catalysts for market movement include confirmation of both players' participation and any updates to their recent match records in the weeks preceding the fixture. Tournament scheduling changes, weather disruptions, or injury announcements could trigger resolution under the tie or delay provisions. Traders should monitor ITF rankings and recent tournament results from both players, as these typically correlate with match outcomes at this competitive level. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches creates a secondary resolution risk that may warrant consideration if the fixture faces postponement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Rosbach: Matteo Covato vs Richard Antoni" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$196 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $196 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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