Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Rodriguez" if Julian Rodriguez is officially declared the winner of the fight against James Perella at Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk, scheduled for May 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Perella" if James Perella is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Rodriguez vs. Perella | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Julian Rodriguez faces James Perella in a welterweight bout scheduled for 10 May 2026 at Zuffa Boxing 6, headlined by Mosley Jr. versus Bohachuk. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for Rodriguez, indicating traders have priced in an overwhelming expectation of his victory. This extreme probability reading suggests either substantial confidence in Rodriguez's superiority or minimal liquidity on Polymarket's order book, where even modest backing of the favourite can drive prices to the extremes.
Welterweight matchups at Zuffa Boxing events typically feature competitive fighters with established records, though Rodriguez's current probability leaves little room for uncertainty. Historical precedent shows that even heavily favoured fighters in combat sports face genuine risk from technical upsets, cuts, or judging decisions. The 100% reading is unusual for any fight market and warrants scrutiny regarding order book depth—such prices often reflect thin liquidity rather than genuine certainty among informed traders.
Key catalysts include any official fighter withdrawals or medical suspensions announced before the event, which would trigger a postponement beyond the 24 May resolution deadline and resolve the market 50-50. Weigh-in results and any last-minute bout adjustments should be monitored through UFC.com. The settlement window closes 11 May at 03:59:59 UTC, giving traders minimal time after the scheduled fight date to react to official declarations. Traders should verify Rodriguez's recent form and Perella's record against comparable opposition before committing capital at current odds.
Zuffa Boxing is a professional boxing promotion company founded by CEO of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), Dana White, and Chairman of the Saudi Arabian General Entertainment Authority (GEA), Turki Al-Sheikh. The company is a joint venture between Sela and TKO Group Holdings (TKO), and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zuffa Boxing 6: Rodriguez vs. Perella (Welterweight, Main)" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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