Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Italy and Croatia in a WTT event, scheduled for May 4 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Italy' if Italy wins against Croatia. This market will resolve to 'Croatia' if Croatia wins against Italy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Men's Singles: Italy vs Croatia | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Italy and Croatia will face off in a men's singles table tennis match at a WTT event on 4 May 2026, with the contest scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for an Italy victory, indicating that traders are pricing a Croatian win as near-certain. This extreme skew suggests either a substantial disparity in player rankings or recent form data favouring the Croatian representative.
Table tennis bilateral matches at WTT events typically feature players ranked within the world's top 100, and historical matchups between European nations show considerable variance depending on individual player seeding and recent tournament performance. The 0% probability on the order book is notable given that even heavily favoured outcomes in professional sports rarely reach absolute certainty; such pricing typically reflects either missing information about player availability or a consensus view based on recent head-to-head records or ranking differentials that heavily favour Croatia.
Traders should monitor official WTT announcements regarding player confirmation and any late withdrawals or injuries in the weeks preceding the match. Schedule changes or venue alterations could affect player preparation, whilst any updates to world rankings between now and early May may shift the underlying competitive assessment. The settlement window closes on 11 May at 09:00 UTC, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled match date for completion or resolution under the stated tie-break conditions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Men's Singles: Italy vs Croatia" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$167 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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