Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between FC Petrolul Ploieşti and FC UTA Arad.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (FC Petrolul Ploieşti vs. FC UTA Arad) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| FC UTA Arad | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Petrolul Ploieşti will host FC UTA Arad in the Romanian SuperLiga on Sunday, 3 May 2026. The settlement window closes at 15:15 UTC on that date, coinciding with the scheduled kick-off. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability, indicating that traders are pricing zero likelihood of a particular outcome—typically either a home win, away win, or draw, depending on the market's specific resolution criteria.
Romania's SuperLiga has historically produced competitive fixtures between mid-table and lower-mid-table sides. Petrolul Ploieşti and UTA Arad have occupied similar league positions in recent seasons, with neither club consistently dominating the other. Form variance in the Romanian top flight can be substantial, particularly in May when fixture congestion and squad rotation become factors. The 0% probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either minimal trading activity on this particular market or a consensus view among active traders that one outcome carries negligible probability.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track team news releases in late April regarding injuries and squad availability, as both clubs may face competing domestic or European commitments in the weeks preceding this match. Recent Romanian SuperLiga standings and head-to-head records between these sides will become more relevant as the fixture date approaches. Liquidity on the order book may increase substantially in the 48 hours before kick-off, when late-arriving traders typically enter positions and the implied probability becomes more reflective of genuine market consensus.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lpf.ro/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Petrolul Ploieşti vs. FC UTA Arad" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lpf.ro/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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