Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Sport Boys Association and CD Comerciantes Unidos, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Sport Boys Association | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| CD Comerciantes Unidos | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Sport Boys Association will host CD Comerciantes Unidos in Peru's Liga 1 on 30 May 2026, with this market settling on the halftime result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for a Sport Boys halftime victory, suggesting near-parity between the home side and the draw outcome, with the away win priced as the least likely scenario. This probability distribution has formed through real-time trading activity as participants assess the matchup's opening-phase dynamics.
Halftime markets in Peru Liga 1 typically exhibit volatility based on team possession patterns and defensive organisation in early stages. Sport Boys, competing at home, historically benefit from crowd support that can influence early-game tempo, though Liga 1 matches frequently feature cautious opening phases where teams establish shape before committing to attacking play. Comparable fixtures between mid-table Peruvian sides suggest halftime draws occur in roughly 35–45% of matches, with home advantage typically shifting probabilities by 5–10 percentage points toward the home result.
Key variables for traders include confirmed team lineups, which typically emerge 24–48 hours before kickoff, and any late injury announcements affecting key defensive or midfield personnel. Weather conditions at the venue and recent form data—particularly whether either side has shown patterns of slow starts or early aggression—should be monitored through official Liga 1 communications and local sports reporting. Polymarket's order book will likely tighten as match time approaches and additional information becomes available.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Sport Boys Association vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $92 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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