Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between CS Cristal and Cusco FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Cusco FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CS Cristal | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (CS Cristal vs. Cusco FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
CS Cristal will face Cusco FC in a Peru Liga 1 fixture on Sunday, 3 May 2026. The match represents a standard domestic league encounter in Peru's top division, with settlement contingent on the final result at the scheduled kick-off time.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in a particular outcome or insufficient liquidity at current price levels. Historically, Peru Liga 1 matches between established Lima-based sides and provincial clubs have shown variable results; CS Cristal, based in the capital, typically holds a structural advantage in infrastructure and player retention, whilst Cusco FC competes from a higher altitude venue that can influence match dynamics. However, a zero probability across any football fixture is unusual and often signals thin order-book depth rather than certainty. Traders should note that even heavily favoured outcomes in domestic leagues rarely trade at such extremes once meaningful volume enters the market.
Key variables to monitor include team news and injury confirmations in the weeks preceding the match, fixture congestion across both squads' schedules, and any weather or pitch condition reports from Cusco's stadium. Recent Peru Liga 1 standings and current form will shape revised probabilities as the settlement window approaches. Polymarket's order book will adjust as traders reassess these factors and as liquidity providers post tighter spreads closer to kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CS Cristal vs. Cusco FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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