Trade: Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Molde FK and Kristiansund BK, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $4K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
Market context
Molde FK will face Kristiansund BK in a Norway Eliteserien fixture on 16 May 2026, with the match kicking off at 10:00 AM ET. The market resolves on the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time. Currently, traders on Polymarket's order book are pricing a 49% probability for the exact score outcome, suggesting meaningful uncertainty around which specific scoreline will materialise. This probability reflects the combined weight of all listed exact-score options against the catch-all "Any Other Score" category.
Historical context for Norwegian Eliteserien matches shows that exact-score predictions typically cluster around low-scoring results, with 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 outcomes accounting for a substantial portion of fixtures. Molde has historically been a stronger side than Kristiansund, though both clubs experience variance in form across seasons. The current 49% probability implies traders view the listed outcomes as roughly balanced against the residual probability of an unlisted scoreline, a common equilibrium when multiple specific outcomes fragment the probability space.
Key variables for traders include team news and injury status, which typically emerge in the week preceding the match. Molde's European competition schedule, if applicable in 2026, could affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. Weather conditions in Norway during May and recent form trajectories of both sides will inform positioning. Settlement occurs at 14:00 UTC on match day, providing a four-hour window after the final whistle for confirmation.
Wikipedia Context
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Molde FKMolde Fotballklubb is a football club based in Molde, Norway, that competes in Eliteserien, the top flight of Norwegian football. Founded on 19 June 1911, the club was originally known as International and changed its name to Molde in 1915. Molde is five-time league champions and six-time Norwegian Cup winner, and has finished second in the league a further
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Molde FK–Rosenborg BK rivalry
The rivalry between Molde and Rosenborg is a notable one in Norwegian football as both clubs are recognised for having great history and traditions.
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Molde FK in European football
Molde FK is a Norwegian professional football club based in Molde Municipality in Møre og Romsdal. The club was founded as International in 1911. The club changed its name to Molde Fotballklubb in 1915. The team has participated in 20 seasons of Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) club competitions, including 5 seasons entering the Champions Leagu
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Molde FK (women)
Molde Fotballklubb is a Norwegian women's football team based in Molde that currently plays in Toppserien, the Norwegian top flight. Founded on 19 June 1911, Molde was originally known as International. Their first appearance in the highest tier of Norwegian women's football was during the 1994 season. Molde FK Women did not compete in 2003 and 2008 due to a
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.eliteserien.no/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.eliteserien.no/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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