Sports

Trade: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC - Exact Score

Opened 3 May 2026 · Settles 10 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC match originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: —
Total Volume: $241
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: $229

Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Exact Score: 1-1	100% YES	0% NO
Exact Score: 1-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-3	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

San Jose Earthquakes will host Vancouver Whitecaps FC on 9 May 2026 at 10:30 PM ET in an MLS regular season fixture. The market resolves on the exact final score at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any outcome not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The current 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's assessment of how likely specific scorelines are to occur, though this reading should be interpreted cautiously given the breadth of possible outcomes in football matches.

Exact-score markets in MLS typically show dispersed probability across numerous outcomes, with draws and low-scoring results historically more common than high-scoring affairs. The 1–1 and 2–1 scorelines have historically represented significant portions of probability mass in comparable fixtures. The current crowd-implied probability being formed across Polymarket's order book will depend on the depth of liquidity available and whether traders have positioned around particular outcomes based on team form, injury status, or tactical expectations.

Traders should monitor team news in the weeks preceding the match, particularly injury announcements affecting key players on either side. Vancouver's recent fixture congestion and travel demands may influence fatigue levels, whilst San Jose's home advantage typically provides marginal statistical benefit in MLS play. Weather conditions at the venue and any late tactical adjustments announced closer to kick-off could shift expectations around scoring patterns. The settlement window closes shortly after the final whistle on 10 May 2026.

Wikipedia Context

San Jose, California
San Jose, officially the City of San José, is the most populous city in the San Francisco Bay Area and Northern California, and the 12th-most populous in the United States, with 997,368 residents. The city's metropolitan area is home to nearly two million people, while the broader combined statistical area has a population of over nine million. Located in th
San Jose State University
San José State University is a public research university in San Jose, California, United States. Established in 1857 as the state's first normal school, it is the oldest public university in the western United States and is the founding campus of the California State University system.
San Jose Earthquakes
The San Jose Earthquakes are an American professional soccer club based in San Jose, California. The Earthquakes compete in Major League Soccer (MLS) as a member of the Western Conference. Originally known as the San Jose Clash, the franchise began play in 1996 as one of the charter members of the league. The Earthquakes took part in the first game in MLS hi
San José, Costa Rica
San José is the capital and largest city of Costa Rica, and the capital of San José Province. It is in the center of the country, in the mid-west of the Central Valley. San José is Costa Rica's seat of national government, focal point of political and economic activity, and major transportation hub. San José is simultaneously one of Costa Rica's cantons, wit

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$241 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

View live odds & trade →

Related prediction markets

Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: