Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, May 13, 2026 between Minnesota United FC and Colorado Rapids SC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Minnesota United FC | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Draw (Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC) | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Colorado Rapids SC | 22% YES | 79% NO |
Minnesota United and Colorado Rapids will meet in an MLS regular season fixture on Wednesday, 13 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for a Minnesota victory, suggesting near-parity in market expectations. This mid-range pricing indicates traders are pricing meaningful uncertainty around the outcome, with neither side commanding clear favouritism at settlement.
Historically, head-to-head records between these clubs show competitive balance, though home advantage has proven statistically significant in MLS fixtures. Minnesota's Allianz Field has hosted strong recent performances, whilst Colorado's altitude advantage at Dick's Sporting Goods Park remains a documented factor in fixture outcomes. The 49% probability sits within typical ranges for evenly-matched MLS pairings where neither team holds pronounced form advantage or injury crisis. Comparable fixtures between mid-table sides in May typically trade between 45–55% for the away team, reflecting the structural difficulty of road matches in the league.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions as both clubs navigate fixture congestion. Colorado's recent form and any roster changes announced via official MLS channels will influence order book movement. Weather conditions at Minnesota's venue—notably wind patterns affecting play—occasionally shift late trading. The settlement window closes 14 May at 00:30 UTC, allowing approximately 24 hours post-match for final confirmation before resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $667K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: