Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami CF, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
FC Cincinnati will host Inter Miami CF on 13 May 2026 at 7:30 PM ET in an MLS regular-season fixture. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." The current 5% implied probability reflects the combined likelihood of all discrete scorelines offered on Polymarket's order book, with the remaining 95% distributed across alternative results or the catch-all category.
Exact-score markets in MLS typically see low probabilities on individual outcomes because football matches generate a wide distribution of final scores. Historical data from comparable fixtures shows that any single scoreline rarely exceeds 10–15% probability, even in matches between teams with significant quality gaps. The 5% figure here suggests traders are pricing a relatively unlikely specific result, consistent with how Polymarket's order book fragments probability across dozens of possible outcomes in sports events with high scoring variance.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments in the weeks before the match. Inter Miami's recent form and Cincinnati's home record will influence expected goal-scoring patterns. Weather conditions on match day—particularly wind or rain affecting passing accuracy—can shift the distribution of likely scorelines. Any late roster moves or managerial changes announced closer to kick-off may trigger repricing across the order book as traders adjust their models of expected match flow and final tallies.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: