Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between CD Coquimbo Unido and CD Tolima, scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Coquimbo Unido | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| CD Tolima | 49% YES | 51% NO |
CD Coquimbo Unido will host CD Tolima in a Copa Libertadores fixture on 19 May 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The halftime result market settles on the match outcome at the 45-minute mark plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: home win, draw, or away win. Polymarket's order book currently prices the combined YES probability (home or draw outcomes) at 50%, reflecting balanced sentiment between the two sides.
Coquimbo Unido compete in Chile's top division and have historically shown inconsistent form in continental competition, whilst Tolima, based in Colombia, have demonstrated stronger Copa Libertadores pedigree in recent campaigns. Halftime markets in South American club fixtures typically reflect the tactical approach of both teams—Chilean sides often adopt defensive structures early, whilst Colombian clubs frequently press higher up the pitch. Historical data from comparable Copa Libertadores matchups suggests that halftime draws occur in roughly 35–40% of fixtures between teams of similar competitive standing, with home advantage typically accounting for a 3–5% probability shift in the home team's favour.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries to key midfielders or forwards, as absences directly impact early-match intensity and scoring likelihood. Fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 19 May will influence squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions in the Atacama region where Coquimbo plays—notably altitude and temperature variance—can affect first-half pacing. Recent form across both sides' domestic leagues in April and May 2026 will provide the most reliable indicator of tactical setup and player fitness heading into the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://conmebollibertadores.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Tolima - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $388 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://conmebollibertadores.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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