Sports

Trade: KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins

100% YES 0% NO

Opened 1 May 2026 · Settles 14 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Doosan Bears and LG Twins, scheduled for May 7 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Doosan Bears" if the Doosan Bears win the game. This market will resolve to "LG Twins" if the LG Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: —
Total Volume: $9K
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: $6K

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Market outcomes

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins

100% YES

0% NO

Market context

The Korean Baseball Organisation fixture between Doosan Bears and LG Twins takes place on 7 May at 5:30 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 14 May. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating either extremely one-sided market sentiment or minimal liquidity depth at current price levels. This extreme reading warrants scrutiny, as KBO regular-season matchups between competitive franchises rarely settle with such certainty absent extraordinary circumstances like confirmed roster absences or force majeure.

Historical context suggests caution when interpreting such skewed probabilities in Asian sports markets, where lower trading volumes and regional information asymmetries can produce distorted prices. The Bears and Twins are both established mid-table competitors in the KBO; neither club has demonstrated the dominance that would justify near-certain outcomes against the other. Recent seasons show competitive balance between these sides, with outcomes typically reflecting pitcher matchups and form rather than structural superiority.

Traders should monitor official KBO announcements regarding starting pitchers and injury status in the days preceding the fixture. Weather conditions at the Seoul venue and any schedule adjustments warrant attention. The settlement window's extension to 14 May accommodates potential postponements, though cancellations remain unlikely given the KBO's established rescheduling protocols. Current pricing likely reflects thin order-book depth rather than genuine predictive consensus; meaningful liquidity entry could substantially shift the implied probability.

Wikipedia Context

Khorusan
Khorusan is a village in Japelaq-e Sharqi Rural District, Japelaq District, Azna County, Lorestan Province, Iran. At the 2006 census, its population was 277, in 74 families.
Koro's Big Day Out
Koro's Big Day Out is a 2002 Japanese animated short film written and directed by Hayao Miyazaki. The film is about Koro the puppy, who runs away from his mistress, experiences some adventures around town and who is finally happily returned home. The film is exclusively shown at the Ghibli Museum and Ghibli Park, both in Japan.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.koreabaseball.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 100% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $100 if YES resolves true — a 0% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$9K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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