Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for Thursday, May 7, 2026 between Comunicaciones FC and CSD Xelajú MC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Comunicaciones FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Comunicaciones FC vs. CSD Xelajú MC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| CSD Xelajú MC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Comunicaciones FC will face CSD Xelajú MC in a Liga Nacional Guatemala fixture on Thursday, 7 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders are pricing either a decisive market consensus or minimal liquidity at current spreads. Settlement occurs after the final whistle on 8 May 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
Liga Nacional Guatemala matches typically draw modest trading volumes on prediction markets relative to European or North American leagues, partly because fixture scheduling and team news circulate through regional rather than global channels. Historical precedent shows that matches involving Comunicaciones—one of Guatemala's larger clubs—occasionally attract slightly elevated interest, though 0% probabilities often reflect thin order books rather than certainty. CSD Xelajú MC, based in Quetzaltenango, competes in the same domestic league and has a stable mid-table presence.
Traders monitoring this market should track official Liga Nacional fixture confirmations, team injury reports, and any last-minute scheduling changes through Guatemalan football media outlets. Comunicaciones' recent form and head-to-head record against Xelajú will influence sentiment as the match date approaches. Liquidity conditions on the order book may shift substantially once regional betting syndicates or local traders become active closer to kickoff, potentially widening spreads and altering the current extreme probability reading.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligagt.org/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Comunicaciones FC vs. CSD Xelajú MC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$534 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligagt.org/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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