Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for May 2 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AFC Ajax (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| PSV (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| AFC Ajax (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| PSV (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Ajax and PSV will meet in an Eredivisie fixture on 2 May 2026, with the match scheduled for 14:00 ET. This represents a standard league encounter between two of the Netherlands' traditional powerhouses, though the specific context—whether this is a title-deciding clash, a mid-table affair, or a fixture with European qualification implications—depends on the final weeks of the 2025–26 season. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book suggests minimal trading activity or consensus that the "yes" outcome (however defined in the full market terms) carries negligible likelihood given current positioning.
Historical Eredivisie matchups between Ajax and PSV typically generate substantial liquidity when settlement hinges on straightforward outcomes like match result or goal totals. The current zero probability often reflects either a market that has not yet attracted sufficient order flow to establish a meaningful spread, or a scenario where traders have already priced the outcome to an extreme. In comparable Dutch league markets, probabilities tend to shift materially once team news, injury reports, and final-week standings become clearer in late April.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 2 May, particularly if either club is competing in European competitions that extend into late April. Polymarket's order book depth will likely increase as the settlement window approaches and teams' seasonal objectives crystallise. Current pricing reflects early-market conditions; material moves typically occur once the fixture's competitive context becomes concrete.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AFC Ajax vs. PSV - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$45K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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