Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, May 17, 2026 between Ismaily SC and ZED FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Ismaily SC | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Draw (Ismaily SC vs. ZED FC) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| ZED FC | 33% YES | 68% NO |
Ismaily SC will face ZED FC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on Sunday, 17 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES outcome (Ismaily victory) at 39%, reflecting modest backing for the home side despite their status as the more established club in Egyptian football. This probability has formed through live trading activity and represents the aggregate view of market participants assessing both teams' current form and tactical setup.
Ismaily SC competes regularly in continental competitions and has historically occupied mid-to-upper table positions in the Egyptian Premier League, whilst ZED FC represents a newer competitive force in the domestic landscape. Historical matchups between clubs of differing pedigree in the Egyptian league have often favoured the more established outfit, though recent seasons have shown increased competitive depth. The 39% probability suggests traders view this as a relatively close contest rather than a clear favourite scenario, potentially reflecting recent performance data or squad availability concerns.
Key variables for traders to monitor include team news releases regarding injuries or suspensions in the days preceding the fixture, as well as any fixture congestion affecting either side's preparation. The Egyptian Premier League's fixture schedule and any midweek commitments will influence player fatigue levels. Weather conditions on match day and any last-minute tactical announcements from either manager could shift the order book materially. Settlement occurs immediately following the final whistle on 17 May 2026.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Ismaily SC vs. ZED FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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