Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Lucknow Super Giants and Royal Challengers Bangalore scheduled for 2026-05-07 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Lucknow Super Giants will be considered correct if Lucknow Super Giants is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Royal Challengers Bangalore.The outcome corresponding to Royal Challengers Bangalore will be considered correct if Royal Challengers Bangalore is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Lucknow Super Giants.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| LUC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ROY | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lucknow Super Giants and Royal Challengers Bangalore will contest an IPL fixture on 7 May 2026, with this market determining which side strikes more sixes during the match. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Lucknow, meaning traders are pricing Royal Challengers Bangalore as the near-certain favourite to hit more sixes. This extreme skew suggests either substantial confidence in Bangalore's batting depth or minimal liquidity at present, as such probabilities typically only emerge when one outcome dominates trader conviction or when few positions have been established.
Historical IPL data shows six-hitting correlates strongly with team composition and opposition bowling quality. Royal Challengers Bangalore have consistently fielded aggressive middle-order batsmen and possess a track record of high six counts in recent seasons, whilst Lucknow's approach has emphasised controlled accumulation. However, IPL outcomes remain volatile; weather conditions, pitch behaviour, and toss-dependent team selection can shift six-hitting patterns substantially between matches at the same venue.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad availability and injury status in the weeks preceding 7 May, as the loss of key batting personnel would alter expected six counts. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground merit attention, particularly if weather forecasts suggest overcast conditions that typically reduce boundary-hitting opportunities. Recent form data closer to the match date—available through ESPNcricinfo and official IPL channels—will provide updated context on batting momentum and opposition bowling changes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$431 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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