Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Lucknow Super Giants and Chennai Super Kings scheduled for 2026-05-15 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Lucknow Super Giants will be considered correct if Lucknow Super Giants is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Chennai Super Kings.The outcome corresponding to Chennai Super Kings will be considered correct if Chennai Super Kings is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Lucknow Super Giants.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| LUC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| CHE | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Lucknow Super Giants and Chennai Super Kings will contest an IPL match on 15 May 2026, with this market settling on which team strikes more sixes during the encounter. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for Lucknow, suggesting near-parity between the two sides' expected six-hitting output. This balanced pricing indicates traders view both franchises as roughly equivalent threats in boundary-clearing capacity, despite their differing squad compositions and recent form trajectories.
Historically, CSK has operated as a relatively conservative batting unit, prioritising stability and accumulation over aggressive stroke-play, whilst Lucknow has built its identity around explosive middle-order batting since entering the league in 2022. In their previous encounters, the teams have shown contrasting approaches to powerplay and death-overs aggression. CSK's reliance on experienced players like Ruturaj Gaikwad and MS Dhoni typically yields controlled innings, whereas Lucknow's younger contingent—including players like Ayush Badoni and Krunal Pandya—has demonstrated higher six-hitting frequency in comparable fixtures. This historical pattern suggests the current 49-51 split may underweight Lucknow's structural advantage in boundary-clearing.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates through late April, particularly regarding key middle-order batsmen for both franchises. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground will materially affect six-hitting likelihood; smaller boundaries and shorter boundaries favour explosive batting. Weather forecasts closer to 15 May, including wind direction and atmospheric pressure, will influence ball carry and trajectory. Recent IPL statistics from espncricinfo will provide the most reliable baseline for comparative six-hitting rates across the 2024-2025 seasons.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $33 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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