Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Friday, May 1, 2026 between CDP Junior FC and AD Pasto.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CDP Junior FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (CDP Junior FC vs. AD Pasto) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| AD Pasto | 0% YES | 100% NO |
On Friday, 1 May 2026, Colombian Primera A side CDP Junior FC will face AD Pasto in a league fixture. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for the match occurring as scheduled, indicating near-certainty among traders that the fixture will take place without cancellation or postponement. This probability has formed through cumulative trading activity on the platform's order book, where participants price in the likelihood of settlement conditions being met by the deadline on 1 May at 23:00 UTC.
Colombian football fixtures have historically shown high reliability in scheduling adherence, particularly within the Primera A domestic calendar where broadcast commitments and league infrastructure support consistent fixture completion. However, weather disruptions during May—Colombia's rainy season in certain regions—have occasionally caused rescheduling of matches. The 100% probability suggests traders are discounting material cancellation risk, reflecting either confidence in the fixture's robustness or limited liquidity depth at alternative price levels on the order book.
Traders should monitor official Colombian football federation (FCF) announcements regarding fixture scheduling, team injury or suspension news affecting either side, and any weather alerts for the relevant venue region in the days preceding the match. Recent fixture data from the 2025–26 season will indicate whether either club has experienced scheduling disruptions. The settlement window's closure at 23:00 UTC on match day means traders have limited opportunity to adjust positions after kick-off, making pre-match verification of fixture confirmation critical.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://dimayor.com.co/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CDP Junior FC vs. AD Pasto" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$44K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://dimayor.com.co/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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