Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for May 30 at 5:15 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CDT RealOruro (-2.5) | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| CDT RealOruro (-1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| GV CD San José (-1.5) | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| GV CD San José (-2.5) | 40% YES | 60% NO |
On 30 May 2026, CDT Real Oruro will face GV CD San José in a Bolivian LFPB (Liga de Fútbol Profesional Boliviana) fixture scheduled for 17:15 ET. The market currently reflects a 39% probability of additional markets being offered for this match, suggesting traders believe there is a moderate-to-low likelihood that Polymarket will expand its offering beyond the standard match outcome contracts. The order book is pricing this contingency at roughly 2:1 odds against further market creation.
Real Oruro competes in Bolivia's top division and has historically drawn modest liquidity on international prediction platforms, whilst San José similarly operates within a lower-profile domestic league context. Markets for Bolivian football typically see limited depth compared to European or South American tier-one competitions, which constrains both the initial market design and the incentive for platforms to proliferate additional contracts around individual fixtures.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's operational calendar and any announcements regarding expanded coverage of Bolivian football in late May. The settlement window closes at 21:15 UTC on match day, leaving a narrow window for resolution. Liquidity conditions on the primary match outcome market and user demand for derivative contracts—such as total goals, handicap, or player performance markets—will likely determine whether the platform's risk management team authorises additional markets before or during the fixture window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CDT RealOruro vs. GV CD San José - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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