Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming VTB United League game, scheduled for June 4 at 12:30PM ET: If the CSKA Moscow win, the market will resolve to "CSKA Moscow". If the Unics Kazan win, the market will resolve to "Unics Kazan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CSKA Moscow vs. Unics Kazan | 79% YES | 22% NO |
CSKA Moscow will face Unics Kazan in a VTB United League fixture on 4 June at 12:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 77% implied probability of a CSKA victory, suggesting the market views the Moscow side as clear favourites. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where the spread between bid and ask prices stabilises around this level.
CSKA Moscow enters as the stronger historical performer in this matchup. The club has dominated Russian basketball over the past decade, winning multiple VTB League titles and consistently reaching European competition knockouts. Unics Kazan, whilst a competitive mid-tier side, has not challenged CSKA's supremacy in recent seasons. The 77% probability aligns with typical market pricing for a matchup between a dominant incumbent and a secondary challenger, though it reflects genuine competitive distance rather than an overwhelming favourite status.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or roster changes in the fortnight before the fixture, as the VTB League season often experiences late-stage disruptions. The settlement window closes on 11 June, providing a week's buffer after the scheduled game date. Fixture postponements occur occasionally within Russian basketball due to logistical or administrative factors, though cancellations without rescheduling remain rare. Current squad availability and any announcements from either club's official channels will be the primary catalysts affecting the probability as the match date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.vtb-league.com/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CSKA Moscow vs. Unics Kazan" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 79%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.vtb-league.com/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: