Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 1 at 2:30PM ET: If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne". If the BCM Gravelines Dunkerque win, the market will resolve to "BCM Gravelines Dunkerque". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. BCM Gravelines Dunkerque | 100% YES | 0% NO |
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, one of France's most successful Pro A franchises, face BCM Gravelines Dunkerque on 1 May at 14:30 ET in a regular-season fixture. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for an ASVEL victory, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme confidence sits at the settlement window's opening, with nearly a week remaining before the 8 May deadline.
ASVEL's historical dominance in French basketball provides context for the current pricing. The club has won multiple Ligue Pro A titles and consistently ranks among the league's top sides, whilst Gravelines Dunkerque operates as a mid-table competitor. Direct matchups between these sides have historically favoured ASVEL, though Pro A fixtures occasionally produce upsets. The 100% probability suggests the market is treating this as a mismatch rather than reflecting genuine uncertainty about the outcome.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or roster changes in the days before the fixture, particularly for ASVEL's key players. Fixture congestion—whether either side has played demanding matches immediately prior—can affect performance. The settlement window extends five days past the scheduled game date, allowing for rescheduling if postponement occurs. Any announcement of player unavailability or fixture changes would likely shift the current extreme pricing, though the structural advantage remains heavily weighted towards the higher-ranked side.
ASVEL Basket, known as LDLC ASVEL since 2018 for sponsorship reasons, is a French professional basketball team located in the commune of Villeurbanne, a suburb of Lyon, France. The club, which is the basketball section of the ASVEL multi-sports club, competes at the highest level of French basketball, the LNB Élite. The club's home games are played in both t
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. BCM Gravelines Dunkerque" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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