Sports

Trade: Chemnitz 99 vs. Brose Bamberg

0% YES 100% NO

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Germany BBL game, scheduled for April 27 at 2:00PM ET: If the Chemnitz 99 win, the market will resolve to "Chemnitz 99". If the Brose Bamberg win, the market will resolve to "Brose Bamberg". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
—
Total Volume
$7K
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$4K
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Chemnitz 99 vs. Brose Bamberg 0% YES100% NO

Market context

Chemnitz 99 will face Brose Bamberg in a German Basketball League (BBL) fixture on 27 April at 2:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, with the crowd-implied probability sitting at 0%, indicating strong market consensus favouring a Bamberg victory. This pricing reflects Bamberg's superior standing in the league hierarchy and recent form relative to Chemnitz, though the extreme probability warrants scrutiny given typical match volatility.

Brose Bamberg operates as one of the BBL's established franchises with consistent playoff credentials, whilst Chemnitz 99 competes as a lower-tier side with limited resources for sustained competitiveness. Historical matchups between clubs of this calibre typically see the stronger outfit prevail in roughly 75–85% of encounters, though upsets remain plausible in single-game formats. The 0% pricing suggests the market has priced in Bamberg as near-certain, leaving minimal room for Chemnitz upset scenarios.

Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or roster changes in the fortnight preceding the match, particularly for Bamberg's key rotation players. Fixture congestion in the BBL's April schedule could affect squad rotation decisions. The settlement window extends to 4 May, providing buffer for any postponement scenarios, though cancellation without a make-up game would trigger 50-50 resolution. Current liquidity appears limited given the extreme probability, which may reflect low trading interest rather than definitive analytical consensus.

Wikipedia Context

  • Chemnitz University of Technology
    Chemnitz University of Technology

    Chemnitz University of Technology is a public university in Chemnitz, Germany. With around 8,300 students, it is the third largest university in Saxony. It was founded in 1836 as Königliche Gewerbschule and was elevated to a Technische Hochschule, a university of technology, in 1963. With approximately 2,400 employees in science, engineering and management,

  • Martin Chemnitz
    Martin Chemnitz

    Martin Chemnitz was an eminent second-generation German, Evangelical Lutheran, Christian theologian, and a Protestant reformer, churchman, and confessor. In the Evangelical Lutheran tradition he is known as Alter Martinus, the "Second Martin": Si Martinus non fuisset, Martinus vix stetisset goes a common saying concerning him. He is listed and remembered in

  • Chemnitz Hauptbahnhof
    Chemnitz Hauptbahnhof

    Chemnitz Hauptbahnhof is the main railway station in Chemnitz in Saxony, Germany.

  • Chemnitz (electoral district)
    Chemnitz (electoral district)

    Chemnitz is an electoral constituency represented in the Bundestag. It elects one member via first-past-the-post voting. Under the current constituency numbering system, it is designated as constituency 161. It is located in western Saxony, comprising the city of Chemnitz.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.easycredit-bbl.de/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Chemnitz 99 vs. Brose Bamberg" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 0% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "Chemnitz 99 vs. Brose Bamberg"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.easycredit-bbl.de/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Chemnitz 99 vs. Brose Bamberg"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

View live odds & trade →

Related prediction markets

Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: