Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Betmoar officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| March 31, 2026 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| September 30, 2026 | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| December 31, 2027 | 60% YES | 40% NO |
| June 30, 2026 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| September 30, 2027 | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| December 31, 2026 | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| March 31, 2027 | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| June 30, 2027 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
Betmoar, a decentralised betting platform, may or may not issue its own native token before the end of 2027. The market currently reflects zero probability of this occurring, as shown by the order book on Polymarket where buyers are absent at meaningful price levels. This pricing suggests traders assess a token launch as either highly unlikely within the timeframe or dependent on developments not yet signalled by the protocol's operators.
Token launches in the decentralised finance and gambling sectors have followed varied timelines. Platforms including Uniswap delayed governance token releases by years after launch, whilst others like dYdX and Aave issued tokens within months of achieving product-market fit. The absence of any public roadmap or announcement from Betmoar regarding tokenomics, distribution mechanisms or launch timing currently supports the market's scepticism. Comparable protocols typically telegraph token plans well in advance through governance discussions or formal announcements.
Traders monitoring this market should track Betmoar's official communications on X for any tokenomics proposals, governance discussions or partnership announcements that might signal imminent token development. Regulatory clarity around decentralised gambling tokens, particularly in jurisdictions where Betmoar operates, could serve as either a catalyst or barrier to launch. The settlement window extends through January 2028, providing roughly twelve months for material developments. Current pricing reflects the view that no such catalyst has materialised or is expected imminently.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Betmoar launch a token by ___?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$37K in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for pre market contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $43 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2028. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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