Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is named to the 2025-26 All-Rookie Second Team. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no official All-Rookie Second Team is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Cooper Flagg | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Dylan Harper | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cedric Coward | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Derik Queen | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Sion James | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Maxime Raynaud | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Kon Knueppel | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The NBA selects an All-Rookie First Team and All-Rookie Second Team annually, with five players named to each squad. These honours recognise the season's most impactful first-year players, determined by a combination of fan voting, media voting, and player voting. The 2025-26 season will conclude in April 2026, with All-Rookie selections typically announced in June alongside other end-of-season awards. A player's inclusion on the Second Team represents a meaningful individual achievement, though less prestigious than First Team selection.
Historical All-Rookie voting has shown relatively consistent patterns: players averaging 15+ points per game with significant playing time rarely miss Second Team consideration, whilst those with lower usage rates or limited minutes face steeper odds. The 50% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty about a specific player's trajectory and role within their franchise during the 2025-26 campaign. Comparable recent selections demonstrate that roster construction, injury status, and competitive context significantly influence voting outcomes—players on lottery teams sometimes receive stronger consideration than those on deep benches.
Traders should monitor the player's draft position, summer league performance, and preseason minutes allocation as early indicators of NBA confidence. The franchise's roster depth, coaching staff decisions, and any trades or free-agent signings will shape playing time availability. All-Rookie voting typically occurs in late May 2026, with results announced shortly thereafter, providing the final catalyst before the June 30 settlement deadline.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "NBA: 2025-26 All-Rookie Second Team" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for nba contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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