Resolution criteria on PolyGram: As of market creation, Beyond Meat is estimated to release earnings on May 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Beyond Meat's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.08 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyond Meat reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.08 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Beyond Meat releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Beyond Meat will report first-quarter 2026 earnings on 6 May, with the Street consensus forecasting a loss of $0.08 per share on a GAAP basis. This market resolves "Yes" if the company reports EPS greater than that threshold—meaning a smaller loss or a profit—and "No" if it matches or underperforms consensus. The current Polymarket order book is pricing this outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting either extremely tight positioning or a technical edge in the book's depth.
Beyond Meat has spent the past two years navigating margin compression and demand softness in plant-based proteins. The company reported a $0.10 loss per share in Q4 2025, slightly worse than the $0.09 consensus at that time. Historical patterns show the Street's consensus estimates for BYND tend to cluster near break-even or modest losses, with actual results frequently missing by a few cents in either direction. When a consensus sits at a small loss figure like $0.08, the probability of beating hinges on whether management has stabilised operations or found unexpected cost relief.
Traders should monitor any pre-earnings announcements regarding product launches, retail partnerships, or cost restructuring in late April. Beyond Meat's cash position and inventory levels, typically disclosed in quarterly filings, will signal whether the company has room to absorb near-term margin pressure. The 100% implied probability on Polymarket suggests the order book sees limited downside risk to missing a $0.08 loss target, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny of actual liquidity depth at the extremes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://seekingalpha.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for hide from new contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://seekingalpha.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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