Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Joe Lester | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Candidate B | — | |
| Candidate F | — | |
| David Scott | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Everton Blair Jr. | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr. | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pierre Whatley | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Candidate G | — | |
Georgia's 13th congressional district will hold a Democratic primary on 19 May 2026 to select the party's nominee for the U.S. House seat in that year's midterm elections. The current order book on Polymarket implies a 5% probability that a Democratic nominee will be formally announced by the 3 November 2026 deadline, suggesting traders assess either a very low likelihood of a contested primary or significant uncertainty around candidate emergence and party endorsement processes in this particular district.
Historical precedent suggests Democratic primary contests in Georgia's suburban districts have attracted multiple credible candidates in recent cycles. The 13th district, which encompasses parts of Clayton and Henry counties, has been competitive terrain; the 2022 midterms saw strong Democratic performance in adjacent districts. Comparable open-seat primaries in Georgia have typically featured announcement activity beginning 12–18 months before the primary date, meaning substantive candidate signals should emerge during 2025. The current 5% reading likely reflects either sparse early candidate activity or trader scepticism that a formal nominee will be publicly confirmed through official Democratic channels by the resolution deadline.
Key catalysts include candidate announcements throughout 2025, any formal Democratic Party endorsements or guidance, and the state party's official nominee certification process. Traders should monitor Georgia Democratic Party communications and local reporting from Clayton and Henry counties for signs of emerging candidacies. The resolution mechanism's reliance on official Democrat sources means ambiguity around what constitutes a formal "announcement" could influence settlement; clarity on this definition will matter as the primary approaches.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24K in lifetime turnover and $34K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for georgia primary contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $40 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: