Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Charlotte Lutz and Andreea Dragoman in a WTT event, scheduled for May 8 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lutz' if Charlotte Lutz wins against Andreea Dragoman. This market will resolve to 'Dragoman' if Andreea Dragoman wins against Charlotte Lutz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Women's Singles: Charlotte Lutz vs Andreea Dragoman | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Charlotte Lutz and Andreea Dragoman are scheduled to compete in a Women's Singles table tennis match on 8 May at 1:00 PM ET as part of a WTT event. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for a Lutz victory on Polymarket's order book, reflecting either minimal trading activity or a consensus view that Dragoman is the heavy favourite. Settlement occurs by 15 May at 5:00 PM UTC, with provisions for 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie.
Lutz, a German player ranked outside the world's top 100, faces a significant gap against Dragoman, a Romanian competitor with stronger recent international results. The 0% probability reading on the order book is not uncommon for heavily skewed matchups in niche sports markets where liquidity is sparse; it typically reflects the absence of backing rather than absolute certainty. Historical precedent suggests such extreme probabilities in table tennis markets often shift once trading volume increases, particularly if late-match information emerges or if the odds attract contrarian interest.
Traders should monitor WTT event schedules and any injury announcements from either player in the days preceding 8 May. Recent form data and head-to-head records, where available, would inform whether the current pricing reflects genuine skill disparity or merely thin order books. Fixture confirmation and venue details from WTT's official communications will be critical, given the 50-50 resolution clause for cancellations or delays exceeding seven days.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Women's Singles: Charlotte Lutz vs Andreea Dragoman" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$303 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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