Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 8 at 10:00PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Golden State Valkyries face the Seattle Storm in a WNBA regular season matchup scheduled for 8 May at 10:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for a YES resolution, indicating traders are pricing in near-certainty that one of these teams will win the game outright. This extreme probability typically emerges when the market perceives minimal risk of postponement or cancellation, though the settlement window extends to 9 May at 02:00 UTC to accommodate potential scheduling disruptions.
Historical precedent suggests WNBA games rarely face cancellation absent extraordinary circumstances such as severe weather or facility issues. The league maintains robust scheduling protocols, and make-up games are standard practice for postponements. The Valkyries, as an expansion franchise entering their inaugural 2024 season, and the Storm, an established playoff contender, both maintain operational stability that reduces cancellation risk materially below the 50-50 fallback threshold.
Traders monitoring this market should track official WNBA communications regarding venue conditions, roster availability, and any last-minute scheduling changes. Recent injury reports or roster moves could influence game dynamics but would not affect settlement mechanics. The 100% probability reflects confidence in game completion rather than predictive certainty about the winner; the binary nature of the resolution means one team must prevail, with no draws possible in basketball. Any material change to venue status or league announcements would be the primary catalyst for probability shifts before tip-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wnba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$33K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wnba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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