Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Delaney and Yan Cheng Chen in the ITF Men Wuning, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Yan Cheng Chen. This market will resolve to 'Yan Cheng Chen' if Yan Cheng Chen advances against Jake Delaney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Jake Delaney vs Yan Cheng Chen | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Jake Delaney faces Yan Cheng Chen in an ITF Men's Wuning tournament match scheduled for 13 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 93% implied probability for Delaney's advancement, suggesting the order book has priced in a substantial favourite. Settlement occurs by 21 May 2026, allowing an eight-day window for the match to conclude and be officially recorded.
The 93% probability sits at the upper end of typical ITF men's singles matchups, indicating either a significant ranking or form differential between the players, or limited recent comparable data on Cheng Chen's performance. ITF tournaments frequently see upsets relative to seeding, particularly when lower-ranked players face injury concerns or form dips. Historical resolution patterns for ITF events show that matches occasionally fail to complete within the settlement window due to weather delays or player withdrawals, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
Traders should monitor the official ITF tournament draw confirmation and any player injury announcements in the week preceding 13 May. Wuning's weather patterns during May can affect scheduling; the venue's historical rainfall data and tournament rescheduling precedents are relevant. Additionally, watch for late withdrawals or walkovers, which would resolve the market immediately. The current order book pricing suggests limited uncertainty about Delaney's capability, so material shifts would likely stem from unexpected player availability issues rather than tactical reassessment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Jake Delaney vs Yan Cheng Chen" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$85 in lifetime turnover and $99 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $85 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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