Games

Trade: Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Qatar, scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Canada vs. Qatar match originally scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$2K
Total Volume
$5
24h Volume
$5
Open Interest
$3
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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-0 7% YES93% NO
Exact Score: 1-0 16% YES85% NO
Exact Score: 1-1 8% YES93% NO
Exact Score: 0-3 4% YES96% NO
Exact Score: 2-1 10% YES90% NO
Exact Score: 1-3 4% YES96% NO
Exact Score: 3-1 6% YES94% NO
Exact Score: 3-2 5% YES96% NO

Market context

Canada and Qatar will meet in a FIFA World Cup group stage match on 18 June 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The 7% implied probability reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the match concludes with one of the explicitly listed scorelines rather than any other result.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in football typically concentrate probability across a narrow range of outcomes. The most common final scores in World Cup matches cluster around 1–0, 1–1, 2–1, and 2–0 results. Canada's recent form and squad composition matter considerably: the side qualified for the 2022 World Cup but finished bottom of their group with one point. Qatar, as the 2022 host nation, exited in the group stage despite home advantage. Neither team has demonstrated consistent attacking prowess at the tournament level, which would ordinarily support lower-scoring outcomes and reduce the probability of any single exact scoreline materialising.

Traders should monitor team news and final squad announcements as the tournament approaches. Injury updates to key players, particularly Canada's attacking options, will influence expected goal-scoring patterns. Fixture congestion in the group stage and weather conditions in North America during June could affect match tempo. The scheduling context—whether either side enters this fixture with qualification already secured or mathematically eliminated—will shift tactical approaches and intensity, potentially narrowing or widening the range of plausible outcomes.

Wikipedia Context

  • Canada–Qatar relations
    Canada–Qatar relations

    Canada and Qatar enjoyed friendly relations and coordination on the international field, long before Qatar's Embassy opened in Ottawa in 2011, including their joint military collaboration during the Gulf War and in the international intervention in Libya. Diplomatic relations between the two nations were established in 1974.

  • Canada Water station
    Canada Water station

    Canada Water is an interchange station in London. It is on the Jubilee line of the London Underground and the Windrush line of the London Overground, and is in London fare zone 2. The station is in Rotherhithe in the London borough of Southwark. It takes its name from Canada Water, a lake which was created from a former dock in the Port of London. London Ove

  • Canada Water
    Canada Water

    Canada Water is an area of Rotherhithe in the Docklands of south-east London. It is named after a freshwater lake and wildlife refuge. Canada Water tube, Overground and bus station is immediately north of the lake, along with Canada Water Library which overhangs the lake and Deal Porter Square. Surrey Quays Shopping Centre is also adjacent, sitting immediate

  • Canada Water Agency

    The Canada Water Agency is an agency of the Government of Canada responsible for freshwater governance. It coordinates and administers federal programs and policies relating to the management and conservation of freshwater ecosystems.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$5 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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