Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Pakistan and West Indies scheduled for 2026-05-29 in T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Pakistan will be considered correct if Pakistan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to West Indies will be considered correct if West Indies is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| PAK3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| WST10 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Pakistan and West Indies will contest a Women's T20 match on 29 May 2026 as part of the Ireland Tri-Series. This market requires both the coin toss outcome and final match result to align with a single team for resolution. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity or a complete absence of bids at any price level for a Pakistan double (toss win plus match victory).
Toss-and-result combination markets are inherently constrained by probability multiplication. Even if Pakistan held a 60% chance of winning the toss and a 50% chance of winning the match independently, the combined outcome would settle around 30%. Historical comparable fixtures in women's T20 tri-series tournaments show such double outcomes rarely exceed 25–35% implied probability for any single team, given the independence of toss outcomes and match results. The West Indies market leg similarly shows minimal liquidity, suggesting the market has attracted limited interest rather than strong conviction against Pakistan's prospects.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and venue conditions closer to 29 May, as these affect match-win probabilities. The Ireland Tri-Series schedule and participating teams' recent form will influence whether either side becomes favoured. Polymarket's order book depth will likely remain thin until closer to match day, when casual and professional traders typically increase activity. Settlement depends entirely on official ESPN Cricinfo records for both the toss coin flip and final result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies - Toss Match Double" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$194 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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