Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Malaysia and Indonesia scheduled for 2026-04-30 in T20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Malaysia will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Malaysia. The outcome corresponding to Indonesia will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Indonesia.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| MYS | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| IDN | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Malaysia and Indonesia will contest a T20 cricket match on 30 April 2026, with this market determining which team produces the match's highest individual batter. The resolution hinges on ESPN Cricinfo's finalised statistics, with the outcome favouring Malaysia if a Malaysian player records the sole highest score, and Indonesia if an Indonesian player achieves that distinction. The settlement window closes on 8 May 2026, allowing time for official record confirmation.
The 0% implied probability reflected in Polymarket's current order book suggests minimal trading activity or a consensus view that one outcome dominates. Historical T20 bilateral series between South Asian and Southeast Asian nations show variable patterns in individual batting performances, with top-order batters typically accumulating 30–50 runs in competitive matches. Malaysia's recent T20 infrastructure development and Indonesia's emerging cricket programme create uncertainty around squad composition and player form. The absence of substantial liquidity at current prices indicates limited market conviction, typical for fixtures between lower-ranked teams where historical data remains sparse.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad selection and player availability in the weeks preceding the match, as injuries or late withdrawals could shift the competitive balance. Recent regional T20 tournaments provide the most relevant form guide, though fixture-specific conditions—pitch characteristics and weather at the venue—will materially influence batting performances. Confirmation of match scheduling and venue details closer to 30 April will clarify logistical factors affecting gameplay.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$333 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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