Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Jie Cui in the Wuxi, originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Set 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Match O/U 21.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Match O/U 22.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui Match O/U 23.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
A tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Jie Cui is scheduled for the Wuxi tournament on 9 May 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on the order book, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that one player will advance. This extreme probability typically emerges when one outcome dominates the available information set, though the settlement window extends to 16 May, allowing a week for match completion or postponement before resolution triggers alternative outcomes.
The 100% reading warrants scrutiny against comparable lower-tier professional tennis markets. Matches at regional Chinese tournaments historically show higher cancellation and postponement rates than ATP or WTA events, particularly around scheduling conflicts and player withdrawals. When crowd probability reaches ceiling levels on Polymarket's order book, liquidity often concentrates at extreme prices, making the true underlying uncertainty difficult to assess. Recent Chinese tennis scheduling data from the ATP and WTA websites would clarify whether either player has competing commitments or injury concerns that might alter participation likelihood.
Key catalysts include official tournament confirmation and player entry lists, typically published 7–10 days before competition. Any announcement of player withdrawal, injury, or schedule adjustment would immediately pressure the current pricing. The seven-day grace period before 50-50 resolution also matters: if the match is delayed beyond 16 May without completion, traders holding YES positions face forced settlement at even odds regardless of eventual outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$61K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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