Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and Rex Regum Qeon in the VCT Pacific Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Rex Regum Qeon. This market will resolve to "Rex Regum Qeon" if Rex Regum Qeon win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
T1 face Rex Regum Qeon in a lower bracket quarterfinal best-of-three match within the VCT Pacific Playoffs on 10 May at 04:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for T1, indicating the crowd expects them to advance. This pricing emerges from T1's established standing as one of the region's premier organisations, though such extreme certainty warrants scrutiny given the inherent volatility of competitive Valorant and the specific matchup dynamics at play.
T1 have historically maintained top-tier performance across VCT Pacific seasons, whilst Rex Regum Qeon represent a lower-seeded challenger. Historical precedent suggests that when established teams face elimination-bracket opponents, markets often price in the favourite's structural advantages—roster depth, coaching infrastructure, and prior tournament results. However, lower bracket matches frequently produce upsets; teams facing elimination pressure sometimes perform unpredictably, and a single map loss in a BO3 format can shift momentum substantially. The 100% probability on Polymarket's order book appears to discount these tactical contingencies entirely.
Traders should monitor official VCT Pacific scheduling confirmations and any roster changes or player availability announcements in the days preceding the match. Recent tournament formats have occasionally seen schedule adjustments or technical delays. Additionally, live match conditions—map selection, early round economy outcomes, and team form on the day—will determine actual execution. The settlement window closes at 14:00 ET on 10 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$119K in lifetime turnover and $618K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $119K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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