Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between KRÜ Esports and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against KRÜ Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) | 56% YES | 45% NO |
KRÜ Esports and G2 Esports will meet in the upper bracket semifinal of the Valorant Champions Tour Americas Stage 1 Playoffs on 15 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The match is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET and will be played as a best-of-three series. Current order book activity on Polymarket implies a 28% probability for a KRÜ victory, reflecting G2 as the favoured side despite KRÜ's regional pedigree.
G2 Esports enters as the higher-seeded team and has demonstrated stronger consistency throughout Stage 1, whilst KRÜ—a historically dominant Latin American organisation—has shown volatility in recent fixtures. Comparable upper bracket semifinals in VCT Americas typically favour the higher seed, with teams seeded 1–2 converting such matchups at roughly 65–70% rates over the past two seasons. KRÜ's 28% implied probability aligns with historical underdog positioning for lower-seeded challengers, though the organisation's experience in high-pressure playoffs warrants consideration.
Traders should monitor roster availability and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 15 May fixture, as player absences have disrupted VCT Americas matches this season. Schedule adherence matters given the 7-day resolution window; any significant delay beyond 22 May triggers a 50-50 settlement. Recent VCT Americas broadcasts have maintained punctuality, reducing delay risk. Team scrimmage results and public practice footage released in the 48 hours before the match may shift market sentiment if either side demonstrates unexpected tactical adjustments or mechanical form changes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19 in lifetime turnover and $37K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $19 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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