Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between All Gamers and Dragon Ranger Gaming in the VCT China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "All Gamers" if All Gamers win the match against Dragon Ranger Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming win the match against All Gamers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
All Gamers and Dragon Ranger Gaming are scheduled to compete in a Valorant Champions Tour lower bracket semifinal on 8 May 2026, with the match set for 07:00 ET. The winner advances further in the VCT China Playoffs, whilst the loser is eliminated. The current Polymarket order book prices All Gamers' victory at 25 per cent implied probability, suggesting Dragon Ranger Gaming enters as the favoured side. This pricing reflects either a perceived skill gap, recent form differential, or roster composition advantages favouring the Dragon Ranger side.
Historical context from VCT China competitions shows that lower bracket semifinals frequently favour teams with stronger recent tournament finishes and stable rosters. Dragon Ranger Gaming's positioning as the higher-seeded team in this matchup typically correlates with superior regular season performance or head-to-head records. All Gamers at 25 per cent carries the profile of an underdog with potential upset capacity, though such outcomes in structured esports tournaments occur less frequently than the odds might suggest to casual observers.
Key catalysts for traders include roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments from VCT organisers prior to the settlement window closing on 8 May at 17:25 UTC. Equipment or technical issues affecting either team's preparation could shift market perception. Recent VCT China standings and scrim results, typically shared through team social media and esports news outlets, may surface new information affecting the probability before match day. Any official postponement announcements would trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause if delays exceed seven days.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorantesports_cn. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$256K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $227K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorantesports_cn. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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