Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the StarCraft II Elimination match between Zoun and Lambo in the RSL Revival Group D, initially scheduled for May 10 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Zoun" if Zoun win the match against Lambo. This market will resolve to "Lambo" if Lambo win the match against Zoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: Zoun (-1.5) vs Lambo (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The RSL Revival Group D elimination match between Zoun and Lambo in StarCraft II is scheduled for 10 May 2026 at 8:15 AM ET. This best-of-three encounter determines advancement in the Revival tournament, a seasonal competition that resurrects competitive interest in StarCraft II amongst professional players. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity on this particular matchup or a complete absence of liquidity at current price levels, suggesting the market has not yet attracted substantive trader interest ahead of the settlement window closing at 18:15 UTC on the event date.
Historical precedent in StarCraft II prediction markets shows that matches featuring lesser-known or regionally-distributed players often trade with thin order books until 24–48 hours before fixture time, when professional betting syndicates and informed traders typically enter positions. The Revival format's lower profile compared to flagship tournaments like the ESL Pro Tour means baseline liquidity remains constrained. Comparable elimination matches in secondary StarCraft II competitions have seen probability shifts of 15–30 percentage points in the final hours as additional information surfaces regarding player form, recent results, or technical conditions.
Traders should monitor RSL's official schedule confirmations and any player announcements regarding participation or withdrawal. Recent tournament disruptions in esports have occasionally produced last-minute roster changes or postponements. Zoun and Lambo's recent ladder rankings, head-to-head records, and any public statements about preparation will likely drive initial order-book activity once the market gains visibility amongst the esports trading community.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/tastelesstv. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "StarCraft II: Zoun vs Lambo (BO3) - RSL Revival Group D" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/tastelesstv. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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