Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Nongshim Red Force. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 22% YES | 79% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Nongshim Red Force and HANJIN BRION are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three League of Legends match during LCK Rounds 1-2 on 9 May at 6:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will secure victory. This even probability suggests neither squad enters with a decisive perceived advantage, though the market remains open to shifts as match day approaches.
Historical performance between these organisations provides limited direct precedent for calibrating expectations. Both teams operate within the LCK's competitive ecosystem where roster changes, meta shifts, and coaching adjustments significantly influence outcomes across seasons. Recent LCK matches have demonstrated that early-round fixtures often produce volatile results, particularly when teams are still establishing synergy following off-season transitions. The current implied probability reflects this inherent unpredictability rather than a clear skill differential.
Traders should monitor several developments before settlement. Roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions could alter team composition substantially. Patch notes released by Riot Games ahead of the match window may favour particular champions or playstyles that align with either team's strategic preferences. Schedule adherence remains critical given the seven-day delay clause in the resolution criteria; any postponement beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome. Official LCK announcements regarding venue status or broadcast scheduling should be tracked through the league's primary channels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.7M in lifetime turnover and $898K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.7M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: