Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between BoostGate Esports and Ozarox Esports in the TCL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 6 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "BoostGate Esports" if BoostGate Esports win the match against Ozarox Esports. This market will resolve to "Ozarox Esports" if Ozarox Esports win the match against BoostGate Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs BoostGate Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
BoostGate Esports face Ozarox Esports in a Turkish Champions League (TCL) regular season best-of-three match scheduled for 6 May 2026 at 1:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for BoostGate victory, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in Ozarox or minimal liquidity establishing a floor price. This extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the match remains several weeks away and roster changes, injury status, or meta shifts could alter competitive positioning substantially before play begins.
Historical TCL matchups between established organisations typically reflect meaningful skill differentials, though upsets occur at rates between 15–25% depending on team trajectory and preparation depth. The 0% probability currently priced suggests market participants either possess concrete information about BoostGate's competitive standing or the order book lacks sufficient depth to establish a realistic two-way market. Comparable esports markets on Polymarket show similar extreme probabilities resolve accurately when based on roster announcements or organisational withdrawals, but resolve incorrectly when driven purely by low trading volume.
Traders should monitor TCL roster announcements, scrim results leaked through community channels, and any schedule changes through the official TCL broadcast schedule. Recent meta shifts in League of Legends patch cycles—particularly changes to champion viability or itemisation—can rapidly alter team preparation priorities. The settlement window closes at 22:20 UTC on 6 May, allowing approximately 20 hours post-match for result confirmation. Any match postponement beyond 13 May triggers the 50-50 tie resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/riotgamesturkish. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$17K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/riotgamesturkish. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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